Penalties private consultants, were seen coming.
(See interview on Youtube)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KpyIMbgSx6Y
few months ago, no consultant was present at the call of INDEC to discuss methodologies and technical aspects. No one believes that the CPI, up from 0.7% monthly and 10%, is infallible and unquestionable. But neither has been strong advocacy of increased near- twice -throwing consultants, supported simply on estimates. No consultant can survey interviewers domestic prices three- although most pollsters do not even have - is not serious. That
disaggregated level distortions are observed in different areas, gives no support to speak of inflation is the "little monkey" as if households do not pay electricity, gas, AySA, Internet, cable, phone, transportation, such a manifestation of "amateurism statistical" looks unseemly. And it will be four years since I settle "the problem of INDEC. No doubt there are discrepancies and distortions in official price indices, but the fears were moved to "all the statistics, when we all know that there are huge differences in terms of empirical relevance, macroeconomic and social development.
In terms of indicators of activity, the underestimation of inflation tends to overestimate the growth in just 1 percentage point (most analysts claim blocks). other words, instead of growing 9.2%, more daring economist said that the GDP grew 8.2% in 2010. I seen outrageous bias consultants, providing a higher rate of GDP growth that the INDEC, arguing that the agency overstated the previous year.
private alternative measurements of the basket are not solid, do not even consider the political-geographical level - and even if they were indisputable, the state poverty rates (23%) or poverty (8 %) - most antagonistic critics - which doubled the official statistics (12% and 3% respectively) are lower than those achieved in the best time of nineties (when none of these consultants is concerned by "poverty and destitution.") Perhaps, the least professional consultants is to take some regions and project them as if they were federal data; or omit a creative aspect, as the lower the unemployment, the income of households increases by higher family contributions. A detail.
But most rugged is the defense for the discrepancies in the calculation of public debt, knowing that there are millions of dollars at stake. Again, the consultants are being formed in the lawyers defending the security holders, as it were (2002-2005), when implored not ask "a remission of debt." Perhaps they are right, but "looks bad" defending the adjustment rate of those who bet on inflation, speculating against the country. The defense of the mutineers looks like one to whom vizcacha old spit roast. It argues that the understatement of the CPI carries with it a decline in debt, and as a result should add about $ 33,000 million s more to their holders. If they are successful have to generate a claim, and the country to increase its debt by $ s 33,000 million.
installed with all the doubts about the representativeness of the official price measurement since 2006, private consulting firms have failed to deploy, through a partnership effort creative - imaginative and professional alternative to cases worth defending. Instead doubts have been exported to all over the world a proliferation over recent years alternative estimates, in a sort of "guessing price statistics"
With his militant antipathy to the ruling, the consultants woo customers, although their strategies did not act out "intelligence" and shall not corporate dividends. Not even give it a political tactic for the opposition in a key year, have not tested a single axiomatic solution to bring down the official arguments.
Ah! "The basic problem, the rise in general price level and its impact on the population, believe me," I give a damn "
few months ago, no consultant was present at the call of INDEC to discuss methodologies and technical aspects. No one believes that the CPI, up from 0.7% monthly and 10%, is infallible and unquestionable. But neither has been strong advocacy of increased near- twice -throwing consultants, supported simply on estimates. No consultant can survey interviewers domestic prices three- although most pollsters do not even have - is not serious. That
disaggregated level distortions are observed in different areas, gives no support to speak of inflation is the "little monkey" as if households do not pay electricity, gas, AySA, Internet, cable, phone, transportation, such a manifestation of "amateurism statistical" looks unseemly. And it will be four years since I settle "the problem of INDEC. No doubt there are discrepancies and distortions in official price indices, but the fears were moved to "all the statistics, when we all know that there are huge differences in terms of empirical relevance, macroeconomic and social development.
In terms of indicators of activity, the underestimation of inflation tends to overestimate the growth in just 1 percentage point (most analysts claim blocks). other words, instead of growing 9.2%, more daring economist said that the GDP grew 8.2% in 2010. I seen outrageous bias consultants, providing a higher rate of GDP growth that the INDEC, arguing that the agency overstated the previous year.
private alternative measurements of the basket are not solid, do not even consider the political-geographical level - and even if they were indisputable, the state poverty rates (23%) or poverty (8 %) - most antagonistic critics - which doubled the official statistics (12% and 3% respectively) are lower than those achieved in the best time of nineties (when none of these consultants is concerned by "poverty and destitution.") Perhaps, the least professional consultants is to take some regions and project them as if they were federal data; or omit a creative aspect, as the lower the unemployment, the income of households increases by higher family contributions. A detail.
But most rugged is the defense for the discrepancies in the calculation of public debt, knowing that there are millions of dollars at stake. Again, the consultants are being formed in the lawyers defending the security holders, as it were (2002-2005), when implored not ask "a remission of debt." Perhaps they are right, but "looks bad" defending the adjustment rate of those who bet on inflation, speculating against the country. The defense of the mutineers looks like one to whom vizcacha old spit roast. It argues that the understatement of the CPI carries with it a decline in debt, and as a result should add about $ 33,000 million s more to their holders. If they are successful have to generate a claim, and the country to increase its debt by $ s 33,000 million.
installed with all the doubts about the representativeness of the official price measurement since 2006, private consulting firms have failed to deploy, through a partnership effort creative - imaginative and professional alternative to cases worth defending. Instead doubts have been exported to all over the world a proliferation over recent years alternative estimates, in a sort of "guessing price statistics"
With his militant antipathy to the ruling, the consultants woo customers, although their strategies did not act out "intelligence" and shall not corporate dividends. Not even give it a political tactic for the opposition in a key year, have not tested a single axiomatic solution to bring down the official arguments.
Ah! "The basic problem, the rise in general price level and its impact on the population, believe me," I give a damn "
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